Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 46.92%. A win for Dynamo Dresden had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Dynamo Dresden win was 0-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Schalke 04 would win this match.