Western Sydney

4 - 1

Wellington

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 28.49% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.