Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 58.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 18.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.