La Liga | Gameweek 18
Dec 22, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Leganes2 - 5Villarreal
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barcelona 0-1 Leganes
Sunday, December 15 at 8pm in La Liga
Sunday, December 15 at 8pm in La Liga
Goals
for
for
15
Last Game: Villarreal 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Wednesday, December 18 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Wednesday, December 18 at 8.30pm in La Liga
We said: Leganes 1-2 Villarreal
Leganes deserve huge credit for their performance against Barcelona, but Villarreal are very much due a win, and with the visitors set to be boosted by the returns of some key players, we can see them edging a close match on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 50.64%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 23.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.7%) and 1-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Leganes win it was 1-0 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leganes | Draw | Villarreal |
23.68% ( 0.03) | 25.68% ( 0.05) | 50.64% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 48.5% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
