Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sparta 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles (4-5 pen.)
Wednesday, December 18 at 7pm in KNVB Beker
Wednesday, December 18 at 7pm in KNVB Beker
Goals
for
for
14
Last Game: Ajax 2-0 Telstar
Thursday, December 19 at 8pm in KNVB Beker
Thursday, December 19 at 8pm in KNVB Beker
We said: Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam have been very poor this season, particularly on their home patch, where they have not won a single league game this term and are now at risk of a fourth loss in succession. Ajax, on the other hand, have lost only one of their last seven on the road, and we feel they will improve that record with another victory in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Ajax |
30.47% ( -0.33) | 23.35% ( -0.01) | 46.17% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 61.68% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
