MX23RW : Monday, November 4 21:47:08| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 3
Nov 4, 2023 at 8.45am UK
Marvel Stadium
Adelaide United

Victory
1 - 1
Adelaide United

Fornaroli (28')
Miranda (58'), Marchan (90+1'), Chapman (90+7')
Miranda (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ibusuki (59')
Madanha (22'), Irankunda (79'), Veart (81')
Irankunda (90+6')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Adelaide United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Last Game: Victory 5-3 Newcastle Jets
Sunday, October 29 at 6am in Australian A-League

Adelaide United

All competitions
Last Game: Adelaide United 6-0 Melbourne City
Sunday, October 29 at 8am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.39%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawAdelaide United
44.27% (1.816 1.82) 22.67% (-0.791 -0.79) 33.07% (-1.024 -1.02)
Both teams to score 65.55% (2.622 2.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.85% (3.581 3.58)35.15% (-3.579 -3.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.85% (3.88 3.88)57.15% (-3.878 -3.88)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.53% (2.173 2.17)16.47% (-2.17 -2.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.83% (3.78 3.78)46.17% (-3.78 -3.78)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.48% (1.128 1.13)21.52% (-1.126 -1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.41% (1.703 1.7)54.58% (-1.701 -1.7)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 44.27%
    Adelaide United 33.07%
    Draw 22.67%
Melbourne VictoryDrawAdelaide United
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.39% (-0.699 -0.7)
2-0 @ 5.77% (-0.191 -0.19)
3-1 @ 5.33% (0.372 0.37)
3-2 @ 4.09% (0.412 0.41)
3-0 @ 3.47% (0.131 0.13)
4-1 @ 2.4% (0.321 0.32)
4-2 @ 1.85% (0.3 0.3)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.163 0.16)
4-3 @ 0.95% (0.18 0.18)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 44.27%
1-1 @ 9.82% (-0.711 -0.71)
2-2 @ 6.8% (0.233 0.23)
0-0 @ 3.54% (-0.677 -0.68)
3-3 @ 2.09% (0.273 0.27)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.67%
1-2 @ 7.54% (-0.278 -0.28)
0-1 @ 5.44% (-0.826 -0.83)
0-2 @ 4.18% (-0.474 -0.47)
1-3 @ 3.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.48% (0.231 0.23)
0-3 @ 2.14% (-0.163 -0.16)
1-4 @ 1.48% (0.046 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.34% (0.13 0.13)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 33.07%

How you voted: Victory vs Adelaide United

Melbourne Victory
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Adelaide United
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2023 4am
Gameweek 18
Victory
1-1
Adelaide United
> Preview
Jan 14, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 12
Adelaide United
1-1
Victory
Goodwin (7')
D'Agostino (49')
> Preview
Nov 11, 2022 8.45am
Gameweek 6
Adelaide United
3-0
Victory
Ibusuki (37'), Goodwin (86' pen.), Warland (90+1')
Apr 2, 2022 9.45am
Gameweek 21
Adelaide United
0-1
Victory

Ibusuki (45+3'), Juande (61'), Lopez (66')
Rojas (7')
Spiranovic (27'), Margiotta (49'), Kelava (90+6')
Jan 8, 2022 8.45am
Gameweek 9
Victory
1-1
Adelaide United
D'Agostino (84')
Brooks (90+4')
Goodwin (90+1')
Timotheou (49'), Sanchez (79'), Juande (90')
Sanchez (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!