Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 56.79%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 21.72% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 1-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Adelaide United |
56.79% (![]() | 21.48% (![]() | 21.72% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.49% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.31% (![]() | 38.69% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39% (![]() | 60.99% (![]() |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.5% (![]() | 13.49% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.47% (![]() | 40.52% (![]() |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.77% (![]() | 31.23% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.42% (![]() | 67.57% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Adelaide United |
2-1 @ 9.84% (![]() 2-0 @ 8.45% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.44% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.57% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.64% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.82% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.29% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.91% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.32% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 3.56% Total : 56.8% | 1-1 @ 9.82% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.73% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.21% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.48% ( ![]() Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.48% | 1-2 @ 5.72% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.9% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.85% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 2.7% Total : 21.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |