MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 02:43:48| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 12
Feb 20, 2024 at 8am UK
Marvel Stadium
Western United

Victory
2 - 1
Western Utd

Da Silva (90+5', 90+8')
Velupillay (13'), Fornaroli (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Penha (60')
Ruhs (17'), Imai (21')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Western United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Melbourne City 0-0 Victory
Saturday, February 17 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Utd 2-0 Newcastle Jets
Friday, February 16 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 47.9%. A win for Western United had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Melbourne Victory in this match.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawWestern United
47.9% (0.121 0.12) 22.95% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 29.15% (-0.209 -0.21)
Both teams to score 62.29% (-0.453 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.48% (-0.534 -0.53)38.52% (0.531 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.18% (-0.568 -0.57)60.81% (0.565 0.57)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.59% (-0.15700000000001 -0.16)16.4% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.94% (-0.284 -0.28)46.05% (0.27999999999999 0.28)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.51% (-0.40400000000001 -0.4)25.48% (0.401 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.67% (-0.554 -0.55)60.32% (0.551 0.55)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 47.9%
    Western United 29.15%
    Draw 22.95%
Melbourne VictoryDrawWestern United
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.56% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 6.83% (0.101 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.12% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.85% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.54% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.86% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.74% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-1 @ 0.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 47.9%
1-1 @ 10.33% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 6.38% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.18% (0.105 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.95%
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.71% (0.078 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.91% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 29.15%

Head to Head
Mar 13, 2023 7am
Gameweek 20
Victory
1-2
Western Utd
Fornaroli (50')
Botic (38'), Prijovic (69')
Dec 26, 2022 7am
May 21, 2022 8.15am
Victory
1-4
Western Utd
Brimmer (37')
Prijovic (18', 49'), Wales (78'), Wenzel-Halls (90+9')
Risdon (66'), Kilkenny (81')
May 17, 2022 10.05am
Western Utd
0-1
Victory

Risdon (56'), Pain (69')
Brimmer (74')
Brimmer (50'), Ikonomidis (77'), Popovic (89')
Mar 23, 2022 8.05am
Gameweek 13
Victory
1-1
Western Utd
Hamill (85')
Marchan (78'), Miranda (90+2')
Topor-Stanley (47')
Risdon (13'), Imai (40'), Wales (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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