Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
30.44% (![]() | 23.28% (![]() | 46.28% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.94% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.66% (![]() | 39.33% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.32% (![]() | 61.67% (![]() |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.92% (![]() | 25.07% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.24% (![]() | 59.76% (![]() |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.67% (![]() | 17.33% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.3% (![]() | 47.7% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
2-1 @ 7.29% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.01% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.16% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.36% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.95% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.92% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.16% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 2.58% Total : 30.44% | 1-1 @ 10.53% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.39% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.34% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.72% ( ![]() Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 9.23% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.62% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.67% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.4% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.9% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.73% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.64% ( ![]() Other @ 4.03% Total : 46.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 41 |
2 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 35 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 33 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 33 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 29 |
8 | Macarthur | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 21 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 19 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 45 | -32 | 11 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 8 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |