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Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Adelaide United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 12
Jan 14, 2023 at 8.45am UK
Coopers Stadium
Melbourne Victory

Adelaide United
1 - 1
Victory

Goodwin (7')
Lopez (20'), Juande (45+3'), Popovic (52'), D'Arrigo (60'), Alagich (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
D'Agostino (49')
Broxham (18'), D'Agostino (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Melbourne Victory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Central Coast 4-0 Adelaide United
Saturday, January 7 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 0-1 Brisbane Roar
Friday, January 6 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

We said: Adelaide United 2-0 Melbourne Victory

Adelaide United will be pushing to quickly put their season back on track this weekend, and this could be the ideal match for that to happen. Considering the fact that Melbourne Victory are bottom of the league right now, this should be one that the hosts can win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawMelbourne Victory
40.74% (-0.709 -0.71) 25.51% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07) 33.74% (0.773 0.77)
Both teams to score 55.49% (0.447 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.61% (0.477 0.48)48.39% (-0.477 -0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.47% (0.434 0.43)70.53% (-0.434 -0.43)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.46% (-0.143 -0.14)23.54% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.41% (-0.21 -0.21)57.59% (0.209 0.21)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.57% (0.717 0.72)27.43% (-0.717 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.09% (0.919 0.92)62.91% (-0.92 -0.92)
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 40.74%
    Melbourne Victory 33.74%
    Draw 25.51%
Adelaide UnitedDrawMelbourne Victory
1-0 @ 9.34% (-0.225 -0.23)
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.76% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-1 @ 4.21% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.26% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 40.74%
1-1 @ 12.08% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.65% (0.068 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 8.35% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 7.81% (0.127 0.13)
0-2 @ 5.4% (0.11 0.11)
1-3 @ 3.37% (0.121 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.077 0.08)
0-3 @ 2.33% (0.093 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 33.74%

How you voted: Adelaide United vs Victory

Adelaide United
63.0%
Draw
14.8%
Melbourne Victory
22.2%
27
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2022 8.45am
Adelaide United
3-0
Victory
Ibusuki (37'), Goodwin (86' pen.), Warland (90+1')
Alagich (49')
Apr 2, 2022 9.45am
Adelaide United
0-1
Victory

Ibusuki (45+3'), Juande (61'), Lopez (66')
Rojas (7')
Spiranovic (27'), Margiotta (49'), Kelava (90+6')
Jan 8, 2022 8.45am
Victory
1-1
Adelaide United
D'Agostino (84')
Brooks (90+4')
Goodwin (90+1')
Timotheou (49'), Sanchez (79'), Juande (90')
Sanchez (90+2')
Dec 11, 2021 8.45am
Adelaide United
1-2
Victory
Tratt (70')
Yengi (26'), Sanchez (31'), Halloran (39'), Tratt (53')
Margiotta (59'), Velupillay (78')
Miranda (27'), Davidson (29'), Kruse (90+5')
Davidson (88')
May 23, 2021 9.10am
Victory
0-1
Adelaide United

Ryan (90+3')
Goodwin (39')
Juande (51'), Cavallo (58'), Halloran (74'), Lopez (90'), Goodwin (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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