Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 51.14%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.27%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
51.14% ( 0.17) | 21.26% ( -0.04) | 27.59% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 67.35% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.62% ( 0.13) | 31.37% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.17% ( 0.16) | 52.82% ( -0.16) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.27% ( 0.1) | 12.73% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.03% ( 0.2) | 38.96% ( -0.2) |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.17% ( -0.01) | 22.82% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.46% ( -0.01) | 56.54% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 51.14% | 1-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.74% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.49% Total : 21.26% | 1-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.32% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 27.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
7 | Macarthur | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 9 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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