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Australian A-League | Gameweek 8
Dec 17, 2023 at 6am UK
Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Central Coast Mariners

Melbourne City
3 - 3
Central Coast

Jakolis (2'), Arslan (63'), Lopane (90+2')
Souprayen (14'), Vidmar (67'), Behich (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Torres (49', 60', 82')
Tulio (41'), Roux (66'), Kuol (89')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Central Coast Mariners.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Melbourne City 1-1 Zhejiang
Tuesday, December 12 at 9.30am in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Central Coast 4-0 Western Utd
Friday, December 8 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 50.03%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.17%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawCentral Coast Mariners
50.03% (2.625 2.63) 21.05% (-0.178 -0.18) 28.91% (-2.446 -2.45)
Both teams to score 69.28% (-0.986 -0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.68% (-0.629 -0.63)29.32% (0.631 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.63% (-0.774 -0.77)50.37% (0.774 0.77)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.66% (0.57000000000001 0.57)12.34% (-0.568 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.84% (1.178 1.18)38.16% (-1.178 -1.18)
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.03% (-1.65 -1.65)20.97% (1.651 1.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.27% (-2.648 -2.65)53.73% (2.648 2.65)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 50.03%
    Central Coast Mariners 28.91%
    Draw 21.05%
Melbourne CityDrawCentral Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 8.85% (0.256 0.26)
3-1 @ 6.17% (0.308 0.31)
2-0 @ 5.66% (0.438 0.44)
1-0 @ 5.41% (0.308 0.31)
3-2 @ 4.82%
3-0 @ 3.95% (0.384 0.38)
4-1 @ 3.23% (0.227 0.23)
4-2 @ 2.52% (0.054 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.07% (0.241 0.24)
5-1 @ 1.35% (0.122 0.12)
4-3 @ 1.31% (-0.039 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.06% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 50.03%
1-1 @ 8.46% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.91% (-0.152 -0.15)
0-0 @ 2.59% (0.094 0.09)
3-3 @ 2.51% (-0.131 -0.13)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 21.05%
1-2 @ 6.61% (-0.294 -0.29)
0-1 @ 4.04% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.6% (-0.273 -0.27)
1-3 @ 3.44% (-0.342 -0.34)
0-2 @ 3.16% (-0.214 -0.21)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.203 -0.2)
2-4 @ 1.41% (-0.186 -0.19)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.211 -0.21)
3-4 @ 0.98% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 28.91%

Head to Head
Jun 3, 2023 10.45am
Melbourne City
1-6
Central Coast
Van der Venne (40')
Reis (45'), Tilio (79')
Cummings (20', 65', 73'), Silvera (34'), N'Kololo (83'), Moresche (90+1')
Triantis (51'), Tulio (89'), Moresche (90+2')
Apr 15, 2023 8am
Dec 27, 2022 6.30am
Feb 22, 2022 8.55am
Gameweek 8
Melbourne City
3-2
Central Coast
MacLaren (45+7' pen.), Berenguer (57'), Tilio (74')
Leckie (13'), Glover (35'), O'Neill (48'), Galloway (72')
N'Kololo (45'), Bozanic (65')
N'Kololo (7'), Montgomery (90+2')
Jan 23, 2022 5.05am
Gameweek 22
Central Coast
1-3
Melbourne City
Urena (41')
Farrell (59')
MacLaren (18'), Nabbout (57'), Jenkinson (84')
Bos (16'), Stokes (45+2'), Metcalfe (55'), Berenguer (84')
rhs 2.0
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