Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 36.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
Result | ||
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
36.94% (![]() | 25.35% (![]() | 37.7% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.5% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.73% (![]() | 47.27% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.5% (![]() | 69.5% (![]() |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.96% (![]() | 25.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.29% (![]() | 59.71% (![]() |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.38% (![]() | 24.62% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.87% (![]() | 59.13% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
1-0 @ 8.54% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.28% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.91% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.82% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.68% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.32% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.95% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 1.78% Total : 36.94% | 1-1 @ 11.96% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.16% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.81% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.25% ( ![]() Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 8.64% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.38% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.05% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.92% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.71% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.37% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.99% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 1.85% Total : 37.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |