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Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
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Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League | Gameweek 10
Dec 31, 2022 at 8am UK
Central Coast Stadium
Melbourne Victory

Central Coast
2 - 1
Victory

Cummings (11', 53')
Montgomery (90+2'), Silvera (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cadete (39')
Broxham (56'), Brimmer (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Melbourne Victory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Melbourne City 1-0 Central Coast
Tuesday, December 27 at 6.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Victory
Monday, December 26 at 7am in Australian A-League

We said: Central Coast Mariners 3-1 Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory have struggled to find the back of the net on a consistent basis of late, while Central Coast Mariners boast more goals than any other Australian team this term. We are tipping the hosts to ease past the threat of their visitors and come away with all three points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 36.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result
Central Coast MarinersDrawMelbourne Victory
36.94% (0.179 0.18) 25.35% (0.159 0.16) 37.7% (-0.334 -0.33)
Both teams to score 56.5% (-0.548 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.73% (-0.707 -0.71)47.27% (0.709 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.5% (-0.659 -0.66)69.5% (0.66200000000001 0.66)
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.96% (-0.22699999999999 -0.23)25.04% (0.23 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.29% (-0.315 -0.32)59.71% (0.317 0.32)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.38% (-0.498 -0.5)24.62% (0.502 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.87% (-0.706 -0.71)59.13% (0.708 0.71)
Score Analysis
    Central Coast Mariners 36.94%
    Melbourne Victory 37.7%
    Draw 25.35%
Central Coast MarinersDrawMelbourne Victory
1-0 @ 8.54% (0.195 0.2)
2-1 @ 8.28% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.91% (0.097 0.1)
3-1 @ 3.82% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.73% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 36.94%
1-1 @ 11.96% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.16% (0.181 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.81% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 8.64% (0.131 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.38% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.92% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.83% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.075 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.37% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-4 @ 0.99% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 37.7%

How you voted: Central Coast vs Victory

Central Coast Mariners
85.2%
Draw
11.1%
Melbourne Victory
3.7%
27
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2022 6.05am
Feb 19, 2022 8.45am
Victory
1-0
Central Coast
Velupillay (90+4')
Broxham (73'), Davidson (89')

Farrell (52')
May 2, 2021 7.05am
Mar 27, 2021 8.10am
Central Coast
1-1
Victory
Urena (30')
Stensness (29'), Clisby (48')
McManaman (20')
McManaman (49'), Shotton (64'), Ansell (79')
Aug 3, 2020 10.30am
Victory
2-3
Central Coast
Rojas (22', 65')
Barnett (72'), Athiu (90+1')
Fox (48'), Ruiz Diaz (85', 89')
Silvera (39'), Oar (51'), Simon (80')
rhs 2.0
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