Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 69.03%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 13.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 3-1 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-2 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
Result | ||
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Perth Glory |
69.03% ( 0.61) | 17% ( -0.16) | 13.96% ( -0.45) |
Both teams to score 59.9% ( -0.64) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.13% ( -0.24) | 30.87% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.77% ( -0.29) | 52.23% ( 0.3) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.88% ( 0.07) | 8.11% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.5% ( 0.16) | 28.5% ( -0.16) |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.19% ( -0.75) | 34.81% ( 0.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.46% ( -0.8) | 71.54% ( 0.8) |
Score Analysis |
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Perth Glory |
2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.07) 5-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.84% Total : 69.03% | 1-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.27% Total : 17% | 1-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.32% Total : 13.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
7 | Macarthur | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 9 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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