Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 69.03%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 13.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 3-1 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-2 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
Result | ||
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Perth Glory |
69.03% (![]() | 17% (![]() | 13.96% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.9% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.13% (![]() | 30.87% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.77% (![]() | 52.23% (![]() |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.88% (![]() | 8.11% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.5% (![]() | 28.5% (![]() |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.19% (![]() | 34.81% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.46% (![]() | 71.54% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Perth Glory |
2-1 @ 9.4% (![]() 2-0 @ 8.91% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.87% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.46% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.09% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.94% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.68% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.15% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.48% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.35% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.31% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.04% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 0.98% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 2.84% Total : 69.03% | 1-1 @ 7.49% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.96% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.82% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.46% ( ![]() Other @ 0.27% Total : 17% | 1-2 @ 3.95% (![]() 0-1 @ 2.98% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.57% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.39% ( ![]() Other @ 2.32% Total : 13.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 41 |
2 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 35 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 33 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 33 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 29 |
8 | Macarthur | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 21 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 19 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 45 | -32 | 11 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 8 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |