Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 52.31%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.