Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 50.29%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.
Result | ||
Perth Glory | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
26.98% ( 0.38) | 22.73% ( 0.2) | 50.29% ( -0.57) |
Both teams to score 61.29% ( -0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.92% ( -0.62) | 39.08% ( 0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.59% ( -0.66) | 61.41% ( 0.66) |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.75% ( -0.06) | 27.25% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.32% ( -0.08) | 62.68% ( 0.07) |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.24% ( -0.43) | 15.76% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.13% ( -0.79) | 44.87% ( 0.79) |
Score Analysis |
Perth Glory | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
2-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 26.98% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.73% | 1-2 @ 9.53% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 7.33% 1-3 @ 5.87% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.71% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.06) 1-5 @ 1% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.73% Total : 50.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
2 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
3 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
7 | Macarthur | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
8 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
9 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
10 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 2 |
11 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 1 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 1 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 |
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