Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 50.62%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 25.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-0 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.