Australian A-League | Gameweek 24
Aug 13, 2020 at 10.30am UK
Hunter Stadium, Newcastle, Australia
Newcastle Jets3 - 0Wellington
Fitzgerald (45'), Ibini-Isei (76'), Hoffman (79')
Boogaard (22'), Topor-Stanley (42'), Koutroumbis (57')
Boogaard (22'), Topor-Stanley (42'), Koutroumbis (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)
DeVere (9')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Wellington Phoenix.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle Jets would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 44.86% | 23.98% | 31.16% |
| Both teams to score 59.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
