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Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 24
Apr 17, 2022 at 4.05am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington
Central Coast Mariners

Wellington
0 - 4
Central Coast


Ball (34'), McGarry (54')
FT(HT: 0-1)
N'Kololo (25'), Cummings (62'), Moresche (65'), Hatch (90+6')
Nisbet (32'), N'Kololo (77')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Central Coast Mariners.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

Last Six:
Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Wellington
Saturday, May 14 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Central Coast Mariners

Last Six:
Last Game: Adelaide United 3-1 Central Coast
Sunday, May 15 at 7.05am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.63%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawCentral Coast Mariners
30.45%23.29%46.25%
Both teams to score 61.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.58%39.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.24%61.76%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.89%25.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.19%59.81%
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.63%17.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.22%47.78%
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 30.45%
    Central Coast Mariners 46.25%
    Draw 23.29%
Wellington PhoenixDrawCentral Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 7.29%
1-0 @ 6.03%
2-0 @ 4.17%
3-1 @ 3.36%
3-2 @ 2.94%
3-0 @ 1.92%
4-1 @ 1.16%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 30.45%
1-1 @ 10.55%
2-2 @ 6.38%
0-0 @ 4.36%
3-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.29%
1-2 @ 9.23%
0-1 @ 7.63%
0-2 @ 6.68%
1-3 @ 5.39%
0-3 @ 3.9%
2-3 @ 3.72%
1-4 @ 2.36%
0-4 @ 1.71%
2-4 @ 1.63%
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 46.25%

Head to Head
Apr 5, 2022 10.05am
Central Coast
5-0
Wellington
Urena (8' pen.), N'Kololo (24'), Cummings (55' pen.), Kuol (68'), Hatch (90+3')

Fenton (89'), Wootton (90+1')
Nov 27, 2021 6.05am
Wellington
2-1
Central Coast
Hooper (48'), Sotirio (63')
Urena (52')
Feb 14, 2021 5.05am
Wellington
0-2
Central Coast

Ball (27')
Simon (40'), Bozanic (50' pen.)
Miller (84')
> Preview
Jan 31, 2021 5.05am
Central Coast
1-2
Wellington
Kuol (41')
Kuol (12')
Davila (15'), Sotirio (88')
Davila (74')
> Preview
Mar 8, 2020 5am
Central Coast
1-3
Wellington
Jair (89')
Eun-seon (83')
Cacace (18'), Hooper (30'), Sotirio (78')
Steinmann (82'), Cacace (90')
rhs 2.0
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