Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 52.82%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 24.15% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.45%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.