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Wellington Phoenix
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Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 4
Jan 2, 2021 at 6.05am UK
WIN Stadium
Sydney FC

Wellington
1 - 2
Sydney FC

Muratovic (45+1')
Payne (44'), Laws (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nieuwenhof (29'), Brattan (55')
Warland (5'), Nieuwenhof (25'), Caceres (36'), Buhagiar (61'), Brattan (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Sydney FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 37.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sydney FC in this match.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawSydney FC
37.33%25.11%37.56%
Both teams to score 57.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.84%46.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.54%68.45%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.68%24.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.3%58.7%
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.81%24.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.48%58.52%
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 37.33%
    Sydney FC 37.56%
    Draw 25.11%
Wellington PhoenixDrawSydney FC
2-1 @ 8.35%
1-0 @ 8.32%
2-0 @ 5.88%
3-1 @ 3.93%
3-2 @ 2.79%
3-0 @ 2.77%
4-1 @ 1.39%
4-2 @ 0.99%
4-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 37.33%
1-1 @ 11.8%
2-2 @ 5.92%
0-0 @ 5.88%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.11%
1-2 @ 8.38%
0-1 @ 8.35%
0-2 @ 5.92%
1-3 @ 3.96%
0-3 @ 2.8%
2-3 @ 2.8%
1-4 @ 1.41%
2-4 @ 0.99%
0-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 37.56%

How you voted: Wellington vs Sydney FC

Wellington Phoenix
24.4%
Draw
9.8%
Sydney FC
65.9%
41
Head to Head
Jul 17, 2020 10.30am
Gameweek 21
Sydney FC
3-1
Wellington
Le Fondre (76' pen.), Buhagiar (88', 90')
Baumjohann (85')
Piscopo (66' pen.)
Rufer (38'), Sotirio (62')
Dec 21, 2019 3.45am
Gameweek 11
Wellington
2-2
Sydney FC
Piscopo (25'), Davila (37')
DeVere (91')
Le Fondre (14'), Taylor (56' og.)
Caceres (45'), Grant (50'), Brattan (67')
Oct 20, 2019 8am
Gameweek 2
Sydney FC
2-1
Wellington
O'Neill (17'), Grant (77')
O'Neill (51'), Retre (84'), Caceres (92')
Davila (69')
Steinmann (37'), Piscopo (89')
Cacace (81')
Feb 23, 2019 6.35am
Gameweek 20
Wellington
0-1
Sydney FC

Durante (14'), Lowry (78'), Rufer (94')
Le Fondre (65' pen.)
Le Fondre (79'), Brosque (86'), O'Neill (86')
Jan 23, 2019 6.35am
Gameweek 15
Wellington
0-1
Sydney FC

Sheridan (32')
De Jong (25')
Ninkovic (45'), O'Neill (63'), Zullo (84')
rhs 2.0
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