Australian A-League | Gameweek 2
Jan 17, 2021 at 5.05am UK
McDonald Jones Stadium
Newcastle Jets1 - 2Macarthur
FT(HT: 1-2)
Puyo (8'), Derbyshire (23')
Etxebarria (31'), Hollman (75'), Milligan (84'), Federici (85'), Ruhs (88')
Etxebarria (31'), Hollman (75'), Milligan (84'), Federici (85'), Ruhs (88')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 45.26%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Macarthur |
| 45.26% | 23.37% | 31.37% |
| Both teams to score 62.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
