Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 60.71%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 19.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 1-0 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Brisbane Roar win it was 1-2 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
60.71% | 19.98% | 19.32% |
Both teams to score 60.99% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.05% | 34.96% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.06% | 56.94% |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.79% | 11.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.26% | 35.74% |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.69% | 31.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.33% | 67.67% |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
2-1 @ 9.76% 2-0 @ 8.41% 1-0 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 7.12% 3-0 @ 6.13% 3-2 @ 4.13% 4-1 @ 3.9% 4-0 @ 3.36% 4-2 @ 2.26% 5-1 @ 1.71% 5-0 @ 1.47% 5-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.8% Total : 60.71% | 1-1 @ 8.92% 2-2 @ 5.67% 0-0 @ 3.51% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.28% Total : 19.98% | 1-2 @ 5.18% 0-1 @ 4.08% 0-2 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 2.19% 1-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.59% Total : 19.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |