Australian A-League | Gameweek 5
Apr 5, 2021 at 10.10am UK
WIN Stadium
Wellington2 - 3Melbourne City
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 49.75%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.61%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 26.96% | 23.29% | 49.75% |
| Both teams to score 59.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
