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Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 3
Jan 2, 2021 at 8.10am UK
AAMI Park
Brisbane Roar

Victory
1 - 3
Brisbane Roar

McManaman (24')
McManaman (46'), Traore (54'), Anderson (61'), Roux (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McDonald (16'), Gillesphey (60'), Wenzel-Halls (79')
Gillesphey (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Brisbane Roar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-0 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawBrisbane Roar
35.36%25.39%39.26%
Both teams to score 56.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.45%47.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.24%69.75%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.93%26.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.89%61.11%
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.07%23.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.86%58.14%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 35.36%
    Brisbane Roar 39.26%
    Draw 25.38%
Melbourne VictoryDrawBrisbane Roar
1-0 @ 8.39%
2-1 @ 8.06%
2-0 @ 5.64%
3-1 @ 3.61%
3-2 @ 2.58%
3-0 @ 2.53%
4-1 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 35.36%
1-1 @ 11.99%
0-0 @ 6.24%
2-2 @ 5.77%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.92%
1-2 @ 8.58%
0-2 @ 6.38%
1-3 @ 4.09%
0-3 @ 3.04%
2-3 @ 2.75%
1-4 @ 1.46%
0-4 @ 1.09%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 39.26%

How you voted: Victory vs Brisbane Roar

Melbourne Victory
85.0%
Draw
0.0%
Brisbane Roar
15.0%
20
Head to Head
Jul 29, 2020 10.30am
Gameweek 24
Victory
1-2
Brisbane Roar
Nabbout (86' pen.)
Barnett (72')
McDonald (56'), Ridenton (78')
Hingert (12')
Oct 25, 2019 9.30am
Gameweek 3
Brisbane Roar
0-1
Victory

Neville (39'), O'Donovan (62'), Aldred (80')
Nabbout (19')
Roux (8'), Deng (16'), Donachie (79'), Poulsen (89')
Mar 16, 2019 8.50am
Gameweek 22
Victory
2-1
Brisbane Roar
Barbarouses (24', 39')
Bautheac (50')
Bautheac (17')
Jan 15, 2019 8.50am
Gameweek 15
Brisbane Roar
0-5
Victory

Nigro (68'), Lopez (92')
Toivonen (14'), Barbarouses (48' pen., 72', 87'), Roux (65')
Dec 14, 2018 8.50am
Gameweek 8
Brisbane Roar
2-4
Victory
Taggart (27' pen.), Toivonen (42' og.)
Bautheac (19'), Bowles (31'), Taggart (40'), McKay (70')
Bautheac (21')
Barbarouses (13', 45'), Toivonen (32'), Honda (40')
Broxham (24')
rhs 2.0
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