Victory

0 - 2

Beijing Guoan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 52.39%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 24.63% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.