Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 67.3%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 13.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.64%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-0 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
Result | ||
Perth Glory | Draw | Melbourne City |
13.59% (![]() | 19.12% (![]() | 67.3% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.71% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.89% (![]() | 42.11% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.49% (![]() | 64.51% (![]() |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.34% (![]() | 42.66% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.99% (![]() | 79.01% (![]() |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.44% (![]() | 11.56% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.5% (![]() | 36.5% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Perth Glory | Draw | Melbourne City |
1-0 @ 4.2% 2-1 @ 3.86% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.79% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 1.46% Total : 13.59% | 1-1 @ 9.06% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.93% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.17% ( ![]() Other @ 0.96% Total : 19.12% | 0-2 @ 11.48% (![]() 0-1 @ 10.64% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.78% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 8.26% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 7.03% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 4.45% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.79% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.92% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.64% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.62% ( ![]() Other @ 3.69% Total : 67.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |