Australian A-League | Gameweek 12

Jan 15, 2023 at 4am UK

Spotless Stadium

Western Sydney
1 - 1
Melbourne City

Borrello (19')

FT(HT: 1-0)

van der Venne (58')
Leckie (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Western Sydney Wanderers and Melbourne City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Perth Glory 1-0 Western Sydney
Friday, January 6 at 11.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Melbourne City

All competitions

Last Game: Melbourne City 4-0 Western Utd
Saturday, January 7 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

We said: Western Sydney Wanderers 0-1 Melbourne City

Considering how strong these two teams are from a defensive point of view, this is likely going to be a fixture with few goals. However, out of the two it is Melbourne City who will head in as the favourites due to where they sit in the league table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-0 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Western Sydney Wanderers	Draw	Melbourne City
26.71% ( 0.73)	24.84% ( -0)	48.45% ( -0.73)

Both teams to score 53.89% (

0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.26% (

0.55)

48.74% (

-0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.15% (

0.5)

70.85% (

-0.5)

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.49% (

0.88)

32.51% (

-0.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.96% (

0.97)

69.04% (

-0.97)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.84% (

-0.09)

20.15% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.56% (

-0.14)

52.43% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Western Sydney Wanderers 26.71%

Melbourne City 48.45%

Draw 24.84%

Western Sydney Wanderers	Draw	Melbourne City
1-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.57% Total : 26.71%	1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.84%	0-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 9.45% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.41% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 5.04% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 4.49% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.79% Total : 48.45%