Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 43.31%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Perth Glory | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
43.31% | 23.93% | 32.76% |
Both teams to score 60.73% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.59% | 41.41% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.19% | 63.81% |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.62% | 19.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.83% | 51.17% |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.33% | 24.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.8% | 59.2% |
Score Analysis |
Perth Glory | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
2-1 @ 9.01% 1-0 @ 7.85% 2-0 @ 6.44% 3-1 @ 4.93% 3-0 @ 3.52% 3-2 @ 3.45% 4-1 @ 2.02% 4-0 @ 1.45% 4-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.23% Total : 43.31% | 1-1 @ 10.97% 2-2 @ 6.31% 0-0 @ 4.78% 3-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.92% | 1-2 @ 7.68% 0-1 @ 6.69% 0-2 @ 4.68% 1-3 @ 3.58% 2-3 @ 2.94% 0-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.25% 2-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.72% Total : 32.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |