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Western Sydney Wanderers
Australian A-League | Gameweek 12
Mar 15, 2021 at 8.05am UK
Bankwest Stadium (Sydney)
Wellington Phoenix

Western Sydney
4 - 3
Wellington

Wilmering (23'), Mutch (52'), Duke (65'), Yeboah (84')
Troisi (17'), Gordon (59'), McGowan (63')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Davila (7'), Devlin (32'), Hemed (64' pen.)
Talay (68'), Piscopo (73'), Lewis (77'), Davila (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Australian A-League clash between Western Sydney Wanderers and Wellington Phoenix, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 37.27% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Western Sydney WanderersDrawWellington Phoenix
37.69%25.03%37.27%
Both teams to score 57.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.19%45.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.88%68.12%
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.04%23.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.81%58.19%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.81%24.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.48%58.51%
Score Analysis
    Western Sydney Wanderers 37.7%
    Wellington Phoenix 37.27%
    Draw 25.03%
Western Sydney WanderersDrawWellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 8.4%
1-0 @ 8.28%
2-0 @ 5.92%
3-1 @ 4%
3-2 @ 2.84%
3-0 @ 2.82%
4-1 @ 1.43%
4-2 @ 1.01%
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2%
Total : 37.7%
1-1 @ 11.75%
2-2 @ 5.96%
0-0 @ 5.79%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 25.03%
1-2 @ 8.34%
0-1 @ 8.23%
0-2 @ 5.84%
1-3 @ 3.95%
2-3 @ 2.82%
0-3 @ 2.76%
1-4 @ 1.4%
2-4 @ 1%
0-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 37.27%

How you voted: Western Sydney vs Wellington

Western Sydney Wanderers
50.0%
Draw
28.3%
Wellington Phoenix
21.7%
46
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2021 7.10am
Gameweek 13
Wellington
2-2
Western Sydney
Muratovic (9'), Fenton (79')
Davila (54')
Yeboah (71'), Kamau (77')
Russell (16'), Muller (65')
Jul 31, 2020 10.30am
Gameweek 29
Western Sydney
1-0
Wellington
Yeboah (74')
O'Doherty (19')

Fenton (21'), DeVere (55'), Devlin (62')
DeVere (65')
Jan 11, 2020 3.45am
Gameweek 14
Wellington
2-0
Western Sydney
Davila (15'), Cacace (88')

Schwegler (54'), McGowan (73'), Ziegler (86')
Dec 7, 2019 6am
Gameweek 9
Wellington
2-1
Western Sydney
Sotirio (48'), Davila (89' pen.)
Ball (17'), Steinmann (49'), Payne (67')
Muller (64')
Jurman (27'), Schwegler (88'), Georgievski (88'), Muller (91')
Mar 17, 2019 6am
Gameweek 22
Wellington
3-1
Western Sydney
Krishna (12'), Mandi (23'), Williams (33')
Rufer (52'), Durante (80'), Krishna (88')
Krishna (93')
Duke (86')
Gallifuoco (21')
rhs 2.0
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