Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 50.35%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Macarthur |
50.35% | 22.83% | 26.82% |
Both teams to score 60.79% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.32% | 39.68% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.97% | 62.04% |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.05% | 15.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.76% | 45.24% |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.33% | 27.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.77% | 63.23% |
Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 9.56% 1-0 @ 8.1% 2-0 @ 7.44% 3-1 @ 5.85% 3-0 @ 4.55% 3-2 @ 3.76% 4-1 @ 2.68% 4-0 @ 2.09% 4-2 @ 1.72% 5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.63% Total : 50.35% | 1-1 @ 10.41% 2-2 @ 6.14% 0-0 @ 4.42% 3-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.83% | 1-2 @ 6.69% 0-1 @ 5.67% 0-2 @ 3.64% 1-3 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 2.63% 0-3 @ 1.56% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.84% Total : 26.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |