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Adelaide United
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Western United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 19
Mar 2, 2024 at 6am UK
Mars Stadium (Ballarat)
Perth Glory

Western Utd
1 - 0
Perth Glory

Botic (53')
Garuccio (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Rawlins (33')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Perth Glory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 2-2 Western Utd
Friday, February 23 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Perth Glory

All competitions
Last Game: Perth Glory 0-0 Wellington
Saturday, February 24 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 44.99%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.

Result
Western UnitedDrawPerth Glory
44.99% (0.273 0.27) 23.44% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07) 31.57% (-0.201 -0.2)
Both teams to score 61.97% (0.162 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.44% (0.255 0.25)39.56% (-0.255 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.09% (0.265 0.27)61.91% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.07% (0.212 0.21)17.93% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.26% (0.361 0.36)48.74% (-0.362 -0.36)
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.49% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)58.94% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Western United 44.99%
    Perth Glory 31.57%
    Draw 23.43%
Western UnitedDrawPerth Glory
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.55% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.49% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.23% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.72% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.68% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.25% (0.035 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.58% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 44.99%
1-1 @ 10.61% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.42% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.39% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.73% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.43%
1-2 @ 7.47% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6.18% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.35% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.01% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 31.57%

Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 26
Perth Glory
1-2
Western Utd
Jelacic (45')
Garuccio (25'), Botic (53')
> Preview
Mar 4, 2023 6am
Gameweek 19
Western Utd
2-1
Perth Glory
Doumbia (42'), Botic (45+3')
Elsey (22')
> Preview
Dec 10, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 7
Perth Glory
2-1
Western Utd
Williams (14'), Clisby (52')
Kilkenny (83')
> Preview
Apr 16, 2022 8.05am
Gameweek 24
Western Utd
6-0
Perth Glory
Wales (25', 27', 45+3'), Pierias (34'), Prijovic (52' pen.), Wenzel-Halls (83')

Colli (32')
Feb 27, 2022 7.45am
Gameweek 16
Perth Glory
0-2
Western Utd
Prijovic (37'), Pierias (56')
Risdon (54'), Skotadis (86')
rhs 2.0
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