Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Perth Glory | Draw | Western United |
33.56% ( -0.43) | 25.97% ( -0.2) | 40.47% ( 0.64) |
Both teams to score 53.9% ( 0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.59% ( 0.77) | 50.41% ( -0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.66% ( 0.68) | 72.34% ( -0.68) |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.47% ( 0.11) | 28.53% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.69% ( 0.13) | 64.31% ( -0.13) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.42% ( 0.68) | 24.58% ( -0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.93% ( 0.95) | 59.07% ( -0.94) |
Score Analysis |
Perth Glory | Draw | Western United |
1-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 33.56% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 8.66% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.05% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.69% Total : 40.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 28 |
2 | Auckland FC | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 27 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 22 |
6 | Macarthur | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 21 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 18 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 8 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 5 |
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