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Australian A-League | Gameweek 17
Feb 18, 2023 at 6am UK
Netstrata Jubilee Stadium
Brisbane Roar

Sydney FC
1 - 1
Brisbane Roar

Parsons (90+4')
Donachie (79'), Lolley (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mileusnic (34')
Courtney-Perkins (63'), Holmes (84'), Knowles (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Brisbane Roar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Western Sydney 0-1 Sydney FC
Saturday, February 11 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-2 Central Coast
Friday, February 10 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

We said: Sydney FC 2-0 Brisbane Roar

Brisbane Roar are heading into this game in very poor form, and considering they are struggling to score goals this season it might be tough to change that. Sydney FC have won three consecutive matches previously, and adding a fourth to that run would not be a shock. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 48.92%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Sydney FCDrawBrisbane Roar
48.92% (0.00099999999999767 0) 23.9% (0.029 0.03) 27.18% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)
Both teams to score 57.39% (-0.127 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.69% (-0.154 -0.15)44.31% (0.152 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.32% (-0.149 -0.15)66.68% (0.146 0.15)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.77% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)18.22% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.75% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)49.24% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.18% (-0.104 -0.1)29.82% (0.102 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.09% (-0.126 -0.13)65.9% (0.123 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Sydney FC 48.92%
    Brisbane Roar 27.18%
    Draw 23.89%
Sydney FCDrawBrisbane Roar
2-1 @ 9.53%
1-0 @ 9.25% (0.043999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.88% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.47% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.3% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.9% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 48.92%
1-1 @ 11.19% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.43% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.89%
1-2 @ 6.77% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.58% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.98% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 27.18%

How you voted: Sydney FC vs Brisbane Roar

Sydney FC
71.0%
Draw
19.4%
Brisbane Roar
9.7%
31
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 4am
May 10, 2022 10.05am
Brisbane Roar
3-1
Sydney FC
Parsons (36'), Lescano (40'), Ivanovic (67')
Chapman (23')
Burgess (30')
Buhagiar (56'), Wilkinson (86')
Jan 15, 2022 8.45am
Sydney FC
1-1
Brisbane Roar
Caceres (34')
King (54')
Mileusnic (40')
Steinmann (8')
Jun 5, 2021 6.05am
Brisbane Roar
0-2
Sydney FC

Daley (90+3')
Barbarouses (16'), Van Der Saag (90+5')
Warland (66'), Wood (82'), Retre (90+3')
Mar 6, 2021 6.05am
Brisbane Roar
1-1
Sydney FC
Rogerio da Silva (71')
Barbarouses (9'), Ninkovic (25'), Grant (36')
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