Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 49.63%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.