Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 49.63%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sydney FC | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
49.63% ( -0.15) | 23.3% ( 0.01) | 27.07% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 59.34% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.31% ( 0.05) | 41.68% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.91% ( 0.05) | 64.08% ( -0.06) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.04% ( -0.04) | 16.96% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.95% ( -0.06) | 47.04% ( 0.06) |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.46% ( 0.13) | 28.54% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.67% ( 0.16) | 64.32% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Sydney FC | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.57% Other @ 4.09% Total : 49.63% | 1-1 @ 10.76% 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.29% | 1-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.53% Total : 27.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
4 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
5 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
7 | Macarthur | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
8 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 16 | -14 | 1 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 0 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |