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Adelaide United
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Macarthur
Melbourne City
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Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Sydney FC
Australian A-League | Gameweek 11
Jan 7, 2023 at 6am UK
Netstrata Jubilee Stadium
Wellington Phoenix

Sydney FC
0 - 1
Wellington


Retre (53'), Burgess (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Zawada (10')
Kraev (34'), Sail (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Wellington Phoenix, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 0-2 Sydney FC
Sunday, January 1 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 1-3 Melbourne City
Monday, January 2 at 2am in Australian A-League

We said: Sydney FC 2-1 Wellington Phoenix

We think Wellington Phoenix's woes away from home will continue here. Both sides concede plenty, so this has the potential to be a high-scoring affair, but we think Sydney will edge this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 49.63%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Sydney FCDrawWellington Phoenix
49.63% (-0.151 -0.15) 23.3% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 27.07% (0.136 0.14)
Both teams to score 59.34% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.31% (0.054000000000002 0.05)41.68% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.91% (0.054000000000002 0.05)64.08% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.04% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)16.96% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.95% (-0.061 -0.06)47.04% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.46% (0.125 0.13)28.54% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.67% (0.159 0.16)64.32% (-0.164 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Sydney FC 49.63%
    Wellington Phoenix 27.07%
    Draw 23.29%
Sydney FCDrawWellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.59% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.62% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.65% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.51% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.54% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.51% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.57%
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 49.63%
1-1 @ 10.76%
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.84% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.29%
1-2 @ 6.75% (0.024 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.8% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.82% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.59% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 27.07%

How you voted: Sydney FC vs Wellington

Sydney FC
84.0%
Draw
16.0%
Wellington Phoenix
0.0%
25
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 6.05am
Wellington
1-1
Sydney FC
Ball (43')
Sandoval (40'), Laws (45+1')
Bobo (67')
Kamsoba (45+1'), Amini (74'), Caceres (78')
Dec 19, 2021 7.45am
Feb 8, 2021 8.10am
Sydney FC
2-1
Wellington
Barbarouses (32', 64')
Brattan (27'), Nieuwenhof (34'), Barbarouses (41'), Grant (61')
Davila (90+3')
Rufer (29'), Ball (90+7')
Jan 2, 2021 6.05am
Wellington
1-2
Sydney FC
Muratovic (45+1')
Payne (44'), Laws (67')
Nieuwenhof (29'), Brattan (55')
Warland (5'), Nieuwenhof (25'), Caceres (36'), Buhagiar (61'), Brattan (66')
Jul 17, 2020 10.30am
Sydney FC
3-1
Wellington
Le Fondre (76' pen.), Buhagiar (88', 90')
Baumjohann (85')
Piscopo (66' pen.)
Rufer (38'), Sotirio (62')
rhs 2.0
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