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Adelaide United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 15
Feb 4, 2023 at 8.45am UK
Coopers Stadium
Brisbane Roar

Adelaide United
2 - 1
Brisbane Roar

D'Arrigo (34'), Irankunda (82')
Clough (29'), Barr (46')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Knowles (37')
Hore (43'), O'Shea (47'), Aldred (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Brisbane Roar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Adelaide United

All competitions
Last Game: Melbourne City 3-3 Adelaide United
Sunday, January 29 at 4am in Australian A-League

Brisbane Roar

All competitions
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 4-0 Brisbane Roar
Friday, January 27 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

We said: Adelaide United 1-0 Brisbane Roar

 Brisbane Roar have proven themselves to be difficult to break down this season, and because of that, this is likely going to be a low-scoring game. However, because the visitors are also struggling to score themselves, Adelaide United should be able to take three points in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawBrisbane Roar
44.54% (0.268 0.27) 25.89% (-0.096 -0.1) 29.57% (-0.172 -0.17)
Both teams to score 52.55% (0.211 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.58% (0.315 0.32)51.42% (-0.316 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.77% (0.274 0.27)73.23% (-0.27500000000001 -0.28)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.99% (0.264 0.26)23.01% (-0.266 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.18% (0.386 0.39)56.81% (-0.386 -0.39)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.26% (0.039000000000001 0.04)31.74% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.83% (0.042999999999999 0.04)68.17% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 44.54%
    Brisbane Roar 29.57%
    Draw 25.89%
Adelaide UnitedDrawBrisbane Roar
1-0 @ 10.73% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.88% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.43% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.86% (0.041 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 44.54%
1-1 @ 12.31% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.3% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 8.38% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
1-2 @ 7.07% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.81% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.7% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.84% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 29.57%

How you voted: Adelaide United vs Brisbane Roar

Adelaide United
81.3%
Draw
12.5%
Brisbane Roar
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2022 8.45am
Brisbane Roar
1-1
Adelaide United
O'Shea (90+4' pen.)
Blackwood (72')
Barr (36')
Apr 30, 2022 10.45am
Adelaide United
2-0
Brisbane Roar
Blackwood (15'), Ibusuki (28')

Ivanovic (18'), Akbari (22'), Parsons (50'), Hingert (87'), Trewin (89')
Jan 23, 2022 7.45am
Brisbane Roar
1-3
Adelaide United
Mileusnic (2')
Daley (40')
Goodwin (24' pen., 85'), Mauk (48' pen.)
Toure (29'), Sanchez (55'), Mauk (69')
Dec 4, 2021 6.05am
Brisbane Roar
0-0
Adelaide United

Daley (19'), Mlinaric (60'), Steinmann (89'), O'Shea (90+3')

Lopez (45'), Caletti (48'), Mauk (60')
Lopez (90+5')
Jun 13, 2021 6.05am
Brisbane Roar
1-2
Adelaide United
Parsons (56')
Aldred (67')
Juric (15', 19')
D'Arrigo (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Auckland FC20126239201942
2Western UnitedWestern Utd21115546301638
3Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney20104647341334
4Melbourne CityMelbourne City2010462718934
5Melbourne VictoryVictory219663327633
6Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United209654340333
7Sydney FCSydney FC2086642311130
8Macarthur218493834428
9Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets207493034-425
10Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast2141072339-1622
11Wellington PhoenixWellington2055101931-1220
12Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar1925122338-1511
13Perth GloryPerth Glory2125141448-3411
> Australian A-League Full Table


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