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Western Sydney Wanderers
Australian A-League | Gameweek 16
Feb 11, 2023 at 8.45am UK
Spotless Stadium
Sydney FC

Western Sydney
0 - 1
Sydney FC


Rudan (65')
Ngbakoto (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Burgess (16')
Caballo (90+5'), Wood (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Western Sydney Wanderers and Sydney FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Western Sydney 1-0 Western Utd
Sunday, February 5 at 4am in Australian A-League

Sydney FC

All competitions
Last Game: Sydney FC 3-2 Central Coast
Saturday, February 4 at 6am in Australian A-League

We said: Western Sydney Wanderers 2-1 Sydney FC

 Both of these teams are heading into the game with confidence, and with it being a derby encounter there will be plenty of tension heading into this one. However, Western Sydney Wanderers will be seen as the favourites due to their league position, but also due to their dominance at home throughout this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.

Result
Western Sydney WanderersDrawSydney FC
32.84% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08) 24.5% (0.062000000000001 0.06) 42.66% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 58.71% (-0.24 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.92% (-0.304 -0.3)44.08% (0.306 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.54% (-0.297 -0.3)66.47% (0.29900000000001 0.3)
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.09% (-0.194 -0.19)25.91% (0.196 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.1% (-0.265 -0.27)60.9% (0.268 0.27)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.23% (-0.11500000000001 -0.12)20.77% (0.118 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.59% (-0.184 -0.18)53.41% (0.186 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Western Sydney Wanderers 32.84%
    Sydney FC 42.66%
    Draw 24.5%
Western Sydney WanderersDrawSydney FC
2-1 @ 7.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.27% (0.056 0.06)
2-0 @ 4.91% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.47% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 32.84%
1-1 @ 11.42% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.06% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.38% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.5%
1-2 @ 8.98% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-1 @ 8.46% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
0-2 @ 6.65% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.7% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.48% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.18% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.85% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.37% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.25% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 42.66%

How you voted: Western Sydney vs Sydney FC

Western Sydney Wanderers
50.0%
Draw
28.6%
Sydney FC
21.4%
14
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 8.45am
Sydney FC
0-1
Western Sydney
Yengi (70')
Nieuwenhof (31')
Apr 2, 2022 9.45am
Sydney FC
3-2
Western Sydney
Le Fondre (2'), Buhagiar (66', 71')
Grant (77'), Amini (90+6'), Retre (90+7')
Grant (89')
Hemed (17'), Russell (75')
Troisi (45+2'), Baccus (86'), Mrcela (90+7')
Mar 5, 2022 8.45am
Western Sydney
2-0
Sydney FC
Hemed (37' pen.), Baccus (52')
Carluccio (90+4')

Donachie (23'), Amini (90+5')
Nov 20, 2021 8.45am
Western Sydney
0-0
Sydney FC

Williams (50'), Traore (68')

Retre (75')
May 23, 2021 7.05am
Sydney FC
1-0
Western Sydney
Bobo (62')
Brattan (45+1'), McGowan (72'), Barbarouses (85')

Gordon (33')
rhs 2.0
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