Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 51.08%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.05%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.