Australian A-League | Gameweek 9
Dec 21, 2024 at 8.35am UK
AAMI Park
Victory1 - 1Melbourne City
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Melbourne City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Victory 2-0 Perth Glory
Sunday, December 8 at 6am in Australian A-League
Sunday, December 8 at 6am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
12
Last Game: Melbourne City 2-2 Auckland FC
Sunday, December 15 at 6am in Australian A-League
Sunday, December 15 at 6am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
14
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Melbourne City had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.96%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest Melbourne City win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Melbourne City |
40.19% ( 0.2) | 23.62% ( 0.02) | 36.19% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 62.81% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.91% ( -0.15) | 39.09% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.59% ( -0.16) | 61.41% ( 0.16) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.22% ( 0.03) | 19.78% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.17% ( 0.05) | 51.83% ( -0.04) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.29% ( -0.18) | 21.71% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.13% ( -0.28) | 54.87% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory 40.19%
Melbourne City 36.19%
Draw 23.61%
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.18% Total : 40.19% | 1-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.61% | 1-2 @ 8.12% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.64% Total : 36.19% |
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 9.35am
May 5, 2024 8am
Victory
1-1
Melbourne City
(Aggregate 1-1 | Victory win 3-2 on penalties)
Feb 17, 2024 8.45am
Gameweek 17
Melbourne City
0-0
Victory
Form Guide
