Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.