Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.96%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.