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Australian A-League | Gameweek 12
Mar 13, 2021 at 6.05am UK
Netstrata Jubilee Stadium
Newcastle Jets

Sydney FC
2 - 1
Newcastle Jets

Ninkovic (64'), Wilkinson (80')
Retre (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Prso (21')
Topor-Stanley (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Newcastle Jets, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 35.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Sydney FCDrawNewcastle Jets
35.66%25.24%39.1%
Both teams to score 56.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.17%46.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.91%69.09%
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.45%25.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.58%60.42%
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.32%23.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.2%57.8%
Score Analysis
    Sydney FC 35.66%
    Newcastle Jets 39.1%
    Draw 25.23%
Sydney FCDrawNewcastle Jets
1-0 @ 8.26%
2-1 @ 8.11%
2-0 @ 5.63%
3-1 @ 3.69%
3-2 @ 2.66%
3-0 @ 2.56%
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 35.66%
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 6.05%
2-2 @ 5.84%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 8.72%
1-2 @ 8.57%
0-2 @ 6.28%
1-3 @ 4.11%
0-3 @ 3.01%
2-3 @ 2.81%
1-4 @ 1.48%
0-4 @ 1.09%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 39.1%

Head to Head
Jul 21, 2020 10.30am
Gameweek 28
Sydney FC
1-2
Newcastle Jets
Caceres (25')
Fitzgerald (58'), Petratos (90')
Boogaard (70'), Ledley (78')
Jan 10, 2020 8.30am
Nov 1, 2019 8.30am
Gameweek 4
Sydney FC
4-1
Newcastle Jets
Ninkovic (6'), Le Fondre (42'), Koutroumbis (51' og.), Barbarouses (65')
Millar (9')
Thurgate (29'), Boogaard (74')
Apr 27, 2019 8.35am
Jan 19, 2019 6.35am
Gameweek 14
Sydney FC
1-0
Newcastle Jets
Boogaard (44' og.)
Calver (24'), Zullo (29'), Devlin (92')

Hoffman (73')
rhs 2.0
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