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Sydney FC
Australian A-League | Gameweek 21
Mar 18, 2023 at 8.45am UK
Netstrata Jubilee Stadium
Western Sydney Wanderers

Sydney FC
0 - 4
Western Sydney


Retre (11'), Brattan (54'), Caballo (72')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Yengi (13'), Layouni (21', 75'), Nieuwenhof (62')
Beadling (11'), Yengi (14'), Amalfitano (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Western Sydney Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wellington 1-0 Sydney FC
Sunday, March 12 at 2am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 1-0 Western Sydney
Friday, March 10 at 11am in Australian A-League

We said: Sydney FC 0-2 Western Sydney Wanderers

Derby games always tend to be tense and closely fought due to how much is on the line, but Western Sydney Wanderers should have enough quality to pick up another win against Sydney FC this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Sydney FCDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
41.8% (-0.169 -0.17) 24.43% (-0.121 -0.12) 33.77% (0.295 0.3)
Both teams to score 59.27% (0.53100000000001 0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.53% (0.652 0.65)43.47% (-0.647 -0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.13% (0.64 0.64)65.87% (-0.63499999999999 -0.63)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.09% (0.199 0.2)20.91% (-0.194 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.37% (0.31 0.31)53.63% (-0.304 -0.3)
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.94% (0.486 0.49)25.06% (-0.482 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.26% (0.667 0.67)59.74% (-0.661 -0.66)
Score Analysis
    Sydney FC 41.8%
    Western Sydney Wanderers 33.77%
    Draw 24.42%
Sydney FCDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.2% (-0.186 -0.19)
2-0 @ 6.42% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-1 @ 4.63% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.35% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.055 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.81% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 41.8%
1-1 @ 11.34% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 6.15% (0.069 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.24% (-0.15 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.42%
1-2 @ 7.85% (0.041 0.04)
0-1 @ 7.25% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-2 @ 5.02% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-3 @ 3.62% (0.069 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.83% (0.07 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.31% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.25% (0.041 0.04)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 33.77%

How you voted: Sydney FC vs Western Sydney

Sydney FC
47.6%
Draw
9.5%
Western Sydney Wanderers
42.9%
21
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 8.45am
Western Sydney
0-1
Sydney FC

Rudan (65')
Ngbakoto (64')
Burgess (16')
Caballo (90+5'), Wood (90+5')
Nov 12, 2022 8.45am
Apr 2, 2022 9.45am
Sydney FC
3-2
Western Sydney
Le Fondre (2'), Buhagiar (66', 71')
Grant (77'), Amini (90+6'), Retre (90+7')
Grant (89')
Hemed (17'), Russell (75')
Troisi (45+2'), Baccus (86'), Mrcela (90+7')
Mar 5, 2022 8.45am
Western Sydney
2-0
Sydney FC
Hemed (37' pen.), Baccus (52')
Carluccio (90+4')

Donachie (23'), Amini (90+5')
Nov 20, 2021 8.45am
rhs 2.0
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