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Western Sydney Wanderers
Australian A-League | Gameweek 18
Feb 25, 2023 at 8.45am UK
Spotless Stadium
Macarthur

Western Sydney
4 - 0
Macarthur

Borrello (3'), Amalfitano (37'), Schneiderlin (56' pen.), Nieuwenhof (61')
Beadling (40')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Susnjar (82'), Arzani (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Western Sydney Wanderers and Macarthur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Adelaide United 4-4 Western Sydney
Sunday, February 19 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 0-1 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, February 18 at 7am in Australian A-League

We said: Western Sydney Wanderers 2-0 Macarthur

Western Sydney Wanderers might have failed to win a game in their previous two outings, but they will still be seen as the favourites this time out. Their strong defensive performances throughout the course of the season being matched with Macarthur's struggles in front of goal should help the hosts here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Western Sydney WanderersDrawMacarthur
49.32% (0.543 0.54) 23.06% (-0.038 -0.04) 27.62% (-0.501 -0.5)
Both teams to score 60.7% (-0.271 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.9% (-0.177 -0.18)40.1% (0.18 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.53% (-0.185 -0.18)62.47% (0.18600000000001 0.19)
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.52% (0.13199999999999 0.13)16.48% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.81% (0.237 0.24)46.19% (-0.235 -0.23)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.68% (-0.43900000000001 -0.44)27.32% (0.441 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.23% (-0.574 -0.57)62.77% (0.575 0.57)
Score Analysis
    Western Sydney Wanderers 49.32%
    Macarthur 27.62%
    Draw 23.05%
Western Sydney WanderersDrawMacarthur
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.044 0.04)
1-0 @ 8.12% (0.102 0.1)
2-0 @ 7.32% (0.125 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.71% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.4% (0.094 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.7% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.57% (0.035 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.98% (0.051 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.67% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 0.93% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 49.32%
1-1 @ 10.53%
2-2 @ 6.16% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.5% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.05%
1-2 @ 6.83% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-1 @ 5.84% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.79% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 27.62%

How you voted: Western Sydney vs Macarthur

Western Sydney Wanderers
77.8%
Draw
11.1%
Macarthur
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2023 6am
May 8, 2022 7.05am
Macarthur
1-1
Western Sydney
Juric (55' pen.)
Uskok (25'), M'Mombwa (29'), Susnjar (85'), Rose (90+4')
Carluccio (10')
Gordon (14'), Koutroumbis (15'), Antonis (25'), Natta (53')
Mar 12, 2022 8.45am
Macarthur
3-1
Western Sydney
Noone (8'), Davila (73', 90+8' pen.)
Giannou (64'), Mutch (64'), Kurto (76')
Antonis (80')
Baccus (10'), Petratos (30'), Margush (90+7')
Dec 11, 2021 8.45am
Feb 6, 2021 8.10am
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