Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Macarthur |
49.32% ( 0.54) | 23.06% ( -0.04) | 27.62% ( -0.5) |
Both teams to score 60.7% ( -0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.9% ( -0.18) | 40.1% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.53% ( -0.18) | 62.47% ( 0.19) |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.52% ( 0.13) | 16.48% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.81% ( 0.24) | 46.19% ( -0.23) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.68% ( -0.44) | 27.32% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.23% ( -0.57) | 62.77% ( 0.57) |
Score Analysis |
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.67% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.43% Total : 49.32% | 1-1 @ 10.53% 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.05% | 1-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.94% Total : 27.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 28 |
2 | Auckland FC | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 27 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 22 |
6 | Macarthur | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 21 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 18 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 8 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 5 |
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