Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 36.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.53%) and 0-2 (5.37%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Sydney FC |
36.97% (![]() | 23.3% (![]() | 39.73% (![]() |
Both teams to score 64.11% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.58% (![]() | 37.42% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.36% (![]() | 59.64% (![]() |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.43% (![]() | 20.57% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.9% (![]() | 53.1% (![]() |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.72% (![]() | 19.28% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.99% (![]() | 51.01% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Sydney FC |
2-1 @ 8.16% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.27% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.96% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.3% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.54% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.7% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.4% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 2.99% Total : 36.97% | 1-1 @ 10.32% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.72% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.97% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.94% ( ![]() Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.3% | 1-2 @ 8.5% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.53% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.37% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.66% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.69% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.95% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.92% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.52% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.21% ( ![]() Other @ 3.38% Total : 39.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |