Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 50.76%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.26%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
50.76% (![]() | 20.91% (![]() | 28.34% (![]() |
Both teams to score 69.36% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.97% (![]() | 29.03% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.99% (![]() | 50.01% (![]() |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.97% (![]() | 12.02% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.5% (![]() | 37.49% (![]() |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.84% (![]() | 21.15% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.99% (![]() | 54.01% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
2-1 @ 8.86% (![]() 3-1 @ 6.26% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.71% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 5.39% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.86% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.03% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.31% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.58% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.4% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.33% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.09% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.9% ( ![]() Other @ 2.89% Total : 50.76% | 1-1 @ 8.37% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.89% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.54% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.52% ( ![]() Other @ 0.59% Total : 20.91% | 1-2 @ 6.5% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.95% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.57% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.37% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.07% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.59% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.39% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.31% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.63% Total : 28.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 42 |
2 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 38 |
3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 34 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 34 |
5 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 33 |
6 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 40 | 3 | 33 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 30 |
8 | Macarthur | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 22 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 |
12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 19 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 11 |
13 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 48 | -34 | 11 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |