Australian A-League | Gameweek 17
Feb 18, 2024 at 7.01am UK
Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
Macarthur1 - 2Wellington
FT(HT: 0-1)
Barbarouses (31' pen., 73')
Ball (24'), van Hattum (42'), Hughes (54'), Salas (90+4'), Zawada (90+4')
Ball (24'), van Hattum (42'), Hughes (54'), Salas (90+4'), Zawada (90+4')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Wellington Phoenix.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Victory 0-1 Macarthur
Saturday, February 10 at 6.30am in Australian A-League
Saturday, February 10 at 6.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 2-0 Western Utd
Saturday, February 10 at 4.45am in Australian A-League
Saturday, February 10 at 4.45am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
28
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 50.76%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.26%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
50.76% ( -1.36) | 20.91% ( -0.12) | 28.34% ( 1.48) |
| Both teams to score 69.36% ( 1.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.97% ( 1.8) | 29.03% ( -1.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.99% ( 2.18) | 50.01% ( -2.17) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.97% ( 0.23) | 12.02% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.5% ( 0.48) | 37.49% ( -0.48) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.84% ( 1.85) | 21.15% ( -1.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.99% ( 2.79) | 54.01% ( -2.79) |
| Score Analysis |
Macarthur 50.76%
Wellington Phoenix 28.34%
Draw 20.91%
| Macarthur | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.5)1-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.53)3-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.32)4-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.15)5-1 @ 1.4% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.13)5-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.89% Total : 50.76% | 1-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.18)0-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.28)3-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.22)Other @ 0.59% Total : 20.91% | 1-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.28)1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.18)1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.16)3-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.63% Total : 28.34% |
How you voted: Macarthur vs Wellington
Macarthur
30.0%Draw
20.0%Wellington Phoenix
50.0%10
Head to Head
Dec 18, 2023 8am
Gameweek 8
Macarthur
0-3
Wellington
Apr 29, 2023 8am
Feb 12, 2023 6am
Feb 6, 2022 5.05am
Gameweek 13
Wellington
3-1
Macarthur
Form Guide
