MX23RW : Saturday, December 28 16:14:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Sydney FC
Australian A-League | Gameweek 5
Dec 19, 2021 at 7.45am UK
Sydney Football Stadium
Wellington Phoenix

Sydney FC
2 - 1
Wellington

Kamsoba (19'), le Fondre (57')
Retre (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Waine (83')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Wellington Phoenix.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.

Result
Sydney FCDrawWellington Phoenix
45.71%25.52%28.77%
Both teams to score 53.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.7%50.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.75%72.25%
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.01%21.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.7%55.3%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.25%31.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.82%68.18%
Score Analysis
    Sydney FC 45.7%
    Wellington Phoenix 28.77%
    Draw 25.52%
Sydney FCDrawWellington Phoenix
1-0 @ 10.57%
2-1 @ 9.19%
2-0 @ 8.01%
3-1 @ 4.64%
3-0 @ 4.04%
3-2 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 1.76%
4-0 @ 1.53%
4-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 45.7%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 6.98%
2-2 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 8.01%
1-2 @ 6.96%
0-2 @ 4.6%
1-3 @ 2.66%
2-3 @ 2.02%
0-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 28.77%

How you voted: Sydney FC vs Wellington

Sydney FC
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Wellington Phoenix
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2021 8.10am
Gameweek 20
Sydney FC
2-1
Wellington
Barbarouses (32', 64')
Brattan (27'), Nieuwenhof (34'), Barbarouses (41'), Grant (61')
Davila (90+3')
Rufer (29'), Ball (90+7')
Jan 2, 2021 6.05am
Jul 17, 2020 10.30am
Gameweek 21
Sydney FC
3-1
Wellington
Le Fondre (76' pen.), Buhagiar (88', 90')
Baumjohann (85')
Piscopo (66' pen.)
Rufer (38'), Sotirio (62')
Dec 21, 2019 3.45am
Gameweek 11
Wellington
2-2
Sydney FC
Piscopo (25'), Davila (37')
DeVere (91')
Le Fondre (14'), Taylor (56' og.)
Caceres (45'), Grant (50'), Brattan (67')
Oct 20, 2019 8am
Gameweek 2
Sydney FC
2-1
Wellington
O'Neill (17'), Grant (77')
O'Neill (51'), Retre (84'), Caceres (92')
Davila (69')
Steinmann (37'), Piscopo (89')
Cacace (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!