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Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 16
Feb 10, 2024 at 4.45am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium
Western United

Wellington
2 - 0
Western Utd

Pennington (3'), Donachie (47' og.)
Paulsen (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pasquali (26'), Donachie (70')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Western United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wellington 0-0 Central Coast
Tuesday, February 6 at 3am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Utd 2-2 Sydney FC
Saturday, February 3 at 6am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Western United had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.73%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawWestern United
41.68% (-0.28 -0.28) 23.26% (0.265 0.27) 35.05% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 63.93% (-1.017 -1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.47% (-1.323 -1.32)37.52% (1.32 1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.25% (-1.434 -1.43)59.75% (1.432 1.43)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.53% (-0.66399999999999 -0.66)18.47% (0.663 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.33% (-1.134 -1.13)49.67% (1.132 1.13)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.42% (-0.60299999999999 -0.6)21.58% (0.601 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.32% (-0.932 -0.93)54.67% (0.928 0.93)
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 41.68%
    Western United 35.05%
    Draw 23.26%
Wellington PhoenixDrawWestern United
2-1 @ 8.72% (0.032 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.73% (0.285 0.29)
2-0 @ 5.69% (0.123 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.91% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.76% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-0 @ 3.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.07% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 41.68%
1-1 @ 10.32% (0.26 0.26)
2-2 @ 6.68% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-0 @ 3.99% (0.25 0.25)
3-3 @ 1.92% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.26%
1-2 @ 7.91% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
0-1 @ 6.11% (0.277 0.28)
0-2 @ 4.69% (0.13 0.13)
1-3 @ 4.05% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.42% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.4% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 35.05%

How you voted: Wellington vs Western Utd

Wellington Phoenix
100%
Draw
0.0%
Western United
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 6.30am
Gameweek 6
Western Utd
0-1
Wellington

Tratt (3'), Lustica (33')
Old (79')
Pennington (33'), Rufer (59'), Sutton (90+3')
Feb 17, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 17
Western Utd
0-3
Wellington
Sasse (19'), Kraev (58'), Zawada (64' pen.)
Nov 13, 2022 2am
May 14, 2022 10.45am
Western Utd
1-0
Wellington
Prijovic (10')
Imai (37'), Milanovic (87'), Bozinovski (90+3'), Pain (90+3')

Lewis (51')
Apr 9, 2022 5.05am
Gameweek 11
Western Utd
1-4
Wellington

Prijovic (34'), Lacroix (47')
Wootton (29'), Sotirio (32'), Sandoval (45+2' pen.)
Sandoval (21'), Elliot (84')
rhs 2.0
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