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Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Melbourne City
Australian A-League | Gameweek 20
Mar 9, 2024 at 8am UK
AAMI Park
Wellington Phoenix

Melbourne City
1 - 0
Wellington

Souprayen (58')
Jeggo (15'), Souprayen (72'), Nabbout (79'), Jakolis (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Salas (34'), Barbarouses (70'), Rufer (82')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions
Last Game: Macarthur 2-0 Melbourne City
Friday, March 1 at 9.28am in Australian A-League

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Last Game: Wellington 3-2 Adelaide United
Sunday, March 3 at 4am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 54.98%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 23.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.41%) and 1-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawWellington Phoenix
54.98% (0.51499999999999 0.51) 21.23% (0.032 0.03) 23.78% (-0.556 -0.56)
Both teams to score 63.3% (-0.829 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.05% (-0.789 -0.79)34.95% (0.781 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.07% (-0.884 -0.88)56.93% (0.877 0.88)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.19% (-0.11500000000001 -0.12)12.8% (0.107 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.88% (-0.226 -0.23)39.11% (0.219 0.22)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.59% (-0.86 -0.86)27.4% (0.852 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.11% (-1.124 -1.12)62.88% (1.116 1.12)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 54.98%
    Wellington Phoenix 23.78%
    Draw 21.23%
Melbourne CityDrawWellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.072999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.41% (0.232 0.23)
1-0 @ 7.21% (0.254 0.25)
3-1 @ 6.58% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.08% (0.139 0.14)
3-2 @ 4.26% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-1 @ 3.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.61% (0.061 0.06)
4-2 @ 2.19% (-0.054 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.39% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.07% (0.021 0.02)
4-3 @ 0.94% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 54.98%
1-1 @ 9.33% (0.109 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.21% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-0 @ 3.51% (0.138 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.84% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 21.23%
1-2 @ 6.04% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
0-1 @ 4.54% (0.072 0.07)
0-2 @ 2.94% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 23.78%

Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3.30am
Gameweek 5
Wellington
1-0
Melbourne City
Kraev (48')
Kraev (72')

Good (68')
Apr 10, 2023 7am
Gameweek 23
Melbourne City
4-1
Wellington
MacLaren (34', 52'), Tilio (57', 83')
Ugarkovic (49')
Jan 2, 2023 2am
Gameweek 10
Wellington
1-3
Melbourne City
> Preview
Oct 30, 2022 6am
Gameweek 4
Melbourne City
2-2
Wellington
MacLaren (16' pen.), Tilio (34')
Sutton (79'), Barbarouses (90')
May 9, 2022 10.05am
Gameweek 21
Melbourne City
2-1
Wellington
Sutton (3' og.), MacLaren (10')
Nabbout (30'), Tilio (54'), MacLaren (56'), Jenkinson (83')
Waine (54')
Piscopo (81'), Waine (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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