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Milan logo
Serie A | Gameweek 3
Oct 4, 2020 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Spezia Calcio logo

AC Milan
3 - 0
Spezia Calcio

Leao (57', 78'), Hernandez (76')
Calhanoglu (47')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ricci (32'), Gyasi (40')

Preview: AC Milan vs. Spezia Calcio - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Spezia Calcio, including predictions and team news.

AC Milan have enjoyed an excellent start to the season, winning both of their opening two Serie A games and advancing through Europa League qualifying.

They take on newly-promoted Spezia Calcio at San Siro and will expect to keep that momentum going with another victory.


Match preview

AC Milan's Gianluigi Donnarumma pictured in July 2020© Reuters

Milan have been comfortable winners in their first two Serie A outings of the season, beating both Bologna and newly-promoted Crotone by 2-0 scorelines.

They've done so whilst juggling Europa League qualifying duties after finishing sixth last season and beat Bodo/Glimt 3-2 before a dramatic penalty shootout victory over Rio Ave to get them into the group stages.

Milan have finished sixth in three of the last four seasons - finishing fifth the other year - and have not been able to break back into the Champions League spots since the 2012-13 season, despite their best efforts.

The last seven seasons have been disappointing for a club of Milan's stature, but their strong start this year may give the Rossoneri hope that this campaign will be the beginning of their revival.

And they will feel confident of maintaining that strong start as they take on a second newly-promoted side in as many league games in the form of Spezia.

Spezia were soundly beaten 4-1 by Sassuolo in their opening game, but bounced back to claim a 2-0 victory over Udinese despite being reduced to 10 men at 1-0.

However, they face their toughest challenge yet, going up against an in-form Milan side at San Siro - a daunting prospect.

They will hope that Milan's Europa League exertions have taken their toll and will allow them to spring a surprise.

AC Milan Serie A form: WW
AC Milan form (all competitions): WWWWW

Spezia Calcio Serie A form: LW


Team News

AC Milan manager Stefano Pioli pictured in February 2020© Reuters

Milan manager Stefano Pioli has several injuries to contend with in his squad as he prepares for the visit of Spezia.

Ante Rebic, Andrea Conti and Mateo Musacchio are all out and are set to return later this month.

Meanwhile, Zlatan Ibrahimovic, Leo Duarte and Alessio Romagnoli are all doubts and Pioli must wait to see if they are fit enough to feature.

Spezia boss Vincenzo Italiano has similar selection problems to deal with ahead of Sunday's trip to Milan.

Federico Mattiello is out with a calf problem, while Elio Capradossi is sidelined until next year with a knee injury.

Ardian Ismajli, Jeroen Zoet and Giuseppe Mastinu are all doubts, while Claudio Terzi is suspended.

AC Milan possible starting lineup:
Donnarumma; Calabria, Kjaer, Gabbia, Hernandez; Kessie, Bennacer; Castillejo, Calhanoglu, Saelemaekers; Maldini

Spezia Calcio possible starting lineup:
Rafael; Ferrer, Erlic, Chabot, Ramos; Deiola, Ricci, Maggiore; Verde, Galabinov, Gyasi


SM words green background

We say: AC Milan 2-0 Spezia Calcio

AC Milan have cruised to victory in each of their first two games and should have no trouble brushing newly-promoted Spezia aside at home.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 59.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Spezia Calcio had a probability of 18.96%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Spezia Calcio win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.


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Game History

Who will win Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Spezia Calcio?

AC Milan
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Spezia Calcio
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0
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Lazio1171324141022
6Juventus115601971221
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Empoli1135389-114
12Roma113441214-213
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
14CagliariCagliari11236919-109
15Genoa11236821-139
16Como112361222-109
17Parma111641417-39
18Monza111551014-48
19VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
20Lecce11227420-168


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